probability n. 1.或有;或然性。 2.【哲學(xué)】蓋然性〔在 certainly 和 doubt 或 posibility 之間〕。 3.【數(shù)學(xué)】幾率,概率,或然率。 4.或有的事;可能的結(jié)果。 5.〔pl.〕〔美俚〕天氣預(yù)測(cè)。 What are the probabilities 有幾分把握? The probabilities are against us [in our favour]. 趨勢(shì)對(duì)我們好像不利[有利]。 hit probability 命中率。 in all probability 很可能,大概,多半,十之八九。 probability of (missile survival) (飛彈不被擊落的)概率。 The probability is that ... 大概是…,很可能是…。 There is every probability of [that] ... 多半有,多半會(huì)。 There is no probability of [that] ... 很難有,很難會(huì)。
Clearly the probability law of the return for a derivative asset ( associated with the basic risk asset ) depends only on the real probability in distribution of the ( random ) return of the basic risk asset ( this is surely unique ) , nothing related to the artificial risk - neutral probability . do n ' t you think this is un - consistent 但衍生資產(chǎn)回報(bào)的概率規(guī)律中南大學(xué)博士論文摘要顯然依賴于基本風(fēng)險(xiǎn)資產(chǎn)回報(bào)的概率規(guī)律而不是依賴于人為的“風(fēng)險(xiǎn)中性概率分布這就造瞅們腑風(fēng)險(xiǎn)持不同的態(tài)度,傳統(tǒng)的理論認(rèn)為“理性”的投資者(或者鵬)是“厭惡風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的” , “偏好風(fēng)險(xiǎn)”是艦。